He literally picked the worst time of year to attack. Frozen ground thawing to mud forcing wheeled vehicles to use hard top. Moving off road means immobilization. Also removes the protection frozen ground provides from landmines. The foliage comes out in a month permitting improved concealment.
The situation is not suitable for a sustained campaign. Ergo he believed an echo chamber delusion of being welcomed as a liberator and occupying Ukraine at the outset.
Starting to believe the Putin medical issue theory. Or he intends to go nuclear. But against fellow slavs? I guess if he’s willing to kill his brothers he’s willing to kill his neighbors. “Surrender or face annihilation”. But he’s not a mongol?
If Ukraine had truly crumbled as expected, he would have been able to complete his invasion before the spring thaws. But at this point, it looks like General Mud may soon start to play a more significant role.
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I don’t know much about Military strategy, but the Putin losing his mind was surrounded by other damning sentences which were essentially word-per-word what the same people said about Trump.
It’s the same playbook, in that respect. Designed to create Hate and support our involvement of money or men.
I have zero doubt. Seen it before.
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"Experts" thought he would attack by end of January. That was optimal to launch an attack. Then February came around. So we thought an attack was less likely.