Russia will be at the Dnieper River before any the aforementioned go into effect. If I were betting over/under, I say Russia moves in within 45 days. Could be kabuki theatre, but probably isn’t. Who knows…
I’m betting on Feb 2nd.
“Russia will be at the Dnieper River before any the aforementioned go into effect. “
As our own recent wars have shown taking territory is easy, holding it is hard.
Our goal should be making sure the Ukrainians mount an insurgency that will break Russia in the long term. Weapons like these are what they need.
I think they do it soon. The whole point of the meeting between Putin & Biden was to seal a deal. Red lines were drawn (Dneiper) and Ukraine will fight alone for as long as they can. Don’t underestimate the possibility that the Russian Army screws up operationally and gets stuck in Ukraines forward defense line.
Russian winter and the mud following it can be a bitch for combat and I'd think would favor the defenders. Will that weather have passed by then?