The virus has not done well in summer, provided the summer is not too very extreme.
It’s all about staying away from people, and indoors is where people are. AC or heat attracts people.
Spring will look good. Those with short memory will celebrate. The Democrats will CERTAINLY celebrate because this will make Democrat Policy Defeated The Virus look possible. VICTORY!!!!
The next surge will be unpredictable for timing. If it waits for winter, they may get an ELECTION OF VICTORY!!. But if the next surge is before November they lose.
Florida and Arizona suffered waves during the summer but like you said, that’s due to the heat outside so people had to go inside for the AC.