2024 is a long ways off. I remember the huge lead Jeb Bush had years out from 2016 for example. And Trump seems to be losing more support, than gaining it, to me.
Vaccine support is hurting him. Conservatives are coming to the conclusion that while they love Trump, the GOP candidate needs to be somebody dedicated to completely smashing government overreach, before it is too late.
Trump is still the leading candidate - but we'll see if he polls the same a year from now.
That’s not what I read.