38 years? C’mon dude, at least grab a time frame that gives you the cover of everyone in our generation being dead before you’re proved wrong.
Reserves proven and probable will last that, without scratching the surface of sands, shales, Antarctica and the fact that anything over a silver adjusted price of approximately 6-7 oz/ barrel will lead to massive conversion of organics and other garbage to hydrocarbons.
The shortage scam is just another in the bag of manipulations to try to steer humanity into the chains of authoritarian “management”.
https://octopus.energy/blog/when-will-fossil-fuels-run-out/
Be that as it may, fossil fuels will run out sooner or later. Working on alternatives seems sensible to me.