Posted on 12/23/2021 3:27:36 PM PST by Steven Scharf
US Census Bureau New Release
New Vintage 2021 Population Estimates Available for the Nation, States and Puerto Rico DECEMBER 21, 2021 RELEASE NUMBER CB21-208
Estimates Show Slowest Growth on Record for the Nation’s Population DEC. 21, 2021 — According to the U.S. Census Bureau’s Vintage 2021 national and state population estimates and components of change released today, the population of the United States grew in the past year by 392,665, or 0.1%, the lowest rate since the nation’s founding. The slow rate of growth can be attributed to decreased net international migration, decreased fertility, and increased mortality due in part to the COVID-19 pandemic.
“Population growth has been slowing for years because of lower birth rates and decreasing net international migration, all while mortality rates are rising due to the aging of the nation’s population,” said Kristie Wilder, a demographer in the Population Division at the Census Bureau. “Now, with the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, this combination has resulted in a historically slow pace of growth.”
Since April 1, 2020 (Census Day), the nation’s population increased from 331,449,281 to 331,893,745, a gain of 444,464, or 0.13%.
Between July 1, 2020, and July 1, 2021, the nation’s growth was due to natural increase (148,043), which is the number of excess births over deaths, and net international migration (244,622). This is the first time that net international migration (the difference between the number of people moving into the country and out of the country) has exceeded natural increase for a given year.
The voting-age resident population, adults age 18 and over, grew to 258.3 million, comprising 77.8% of the population in 2021.
The South, with a population of 127,225,329, was the most populous of the four regions (encompassing 38.3% of the total national population) and was the only region that had positive net domestic migration of 657,682 (the movement of people from one area to another within the United States) between 2020 and 2021. The Northeast region, the least populous of the four regions with a population of 57,159,838 in 2021, experienced a population decrease of -365,795 residents due to natural decrease (-31,052) and negative net domestic migration (-389,638).
The West saw a gain in population (35,868) despite losing residents via negative net domestic migration (-144,941). Growth in the West was due to natural increase (143,082) and positive net international migration (38,347).
Between 2020 and 2021, 33 states saw population increases and 17 states and the District of Columbia lost population, 11 of which had losses of over 10,000 people. This is a historically large number of states to lose population in year.
https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2021/2021-population-estimates.html
Also released today were national- and state-level estimates of the components of population change, which include tables on births, deaths and migration.
https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/tables.html
My first cut of the data
First this caveat appears at the bottom of dataset pages: With each new release of annual estimates, the entire time series of estimates is revised for all years back to the last census.
I started to use a 2020 vintage file to compare population change and discovered that they increased the US population estimate for 2020 by about 2 million between releases. I can see doing some tweaking, but 2 million is wholesale manipulation of the data.
Between 2020 and 2021, 33 states saw population increases and 17 states and the District of Columbia lost population
This is using July to July data as the April to July 2021 data show one additional state, Alaska apparently gained 500 people between April and July 2020. The 17 states and DC are:
New York -319020
California -261902
Illinois -113776
Massachusetts -37497
Louisiana -27156
Pennsylvania -25569
District of Columbia -20043
Michigan -16853
New Jersey -12613
Ohio -10570
Hawaii -10358
Maryland -7550
Mississippi -6905
West Virginia -6839
North Dakota -4014
New Mexico -1689
Kansas -1298
Rhode Island -619
Puerto Rico -17,954, also continued its out migration. People moving from PR to the mainland are consider international migrants for census purposes.
The following states gained population:
Minnesota 225
Alaska 232
Wyoming 1536
Nebraska 2237
Vermont 3075
Wisconsin 3585
Iowa 4410
Oregon 4611
Connecticut 5337
Kentucky 5436
South Dakota 8277
Maine 9967
Virginia 10230
New Hampshire 11144
Delaware 11498
Arkansas 13659
Missouri 13706
Alabama 15074
Montana 18078
Washington 19907
Indiana 20341
Oklahoma 24608
Colorado 27761
Nevada 29920
Idaho 53151
Tennessee 55099
Utah 56291
South Carolina 59976
Georgia 73766
North Carolina 93985
Arizona 98330
Florida 211196
Texas 310288
Maine which has perennially been on the list of states losing population was a surprising gainer.
A surprisingly large number of states had a decrease in Natural Increase, Ie. births over deaths (to be totally clear, this means more people died than born in these 25 states, plus Puerto Rico):
Florida -45248
Pennsylvania -30878
Ohio -15811
Michigan -14353
West Virginia -9870
Alabama -8548
South Carolina -7807
Tennessee -7591
Maine -6344
Kentucky -6128
Connecticut -4975
Oregon -4715
Missouri -4515
Massachusetts -4234
New Hampshire -3744
Mississippi -3237
Arkansas -3236
Wisconsin -2581
Rhode Island -2250
Oklahoma -1870
Vermont -1827
North Carolina -1698
Montana -1520
Delaware -1344
New Mexico -1086
Puerto Rico -14173
25 states and DC had more births than deaths.
Wyoming 171
Iowa 233
Louisiana 607
Indiana 692
Arizona 832
Hawaii 1256
South Dakota 1668
Nevada 2075
District of Columbia 2171
North Dakota 2210
Kansas 2263
Illinois 2778
Alaska 3639
Nebraska 4311
Idaho 4398
New Jersey 4697
Maryland 5252
Virginia 8340
Minnesota 9487
Washington 10357
Colorado 12687
Georgia 15993
New York 18503
Utah 22992
California 91996
Texas 113845
It is surprising to see NY and California on the gainer list here.
16 states, DC and Puerto Rico saw population losses via domestic and international migration.
California -352960
New York -333878
Illinois -116694
Massachusetts -33512
Louisiana -27620
District of Columbia -21902
New Jersey -17752
Maryland -13033
Hawaii -11526
Minnesota -9411
North Dakota -6166
Kansas -3886
Mississippi -3805
Michigan -3726
Alaska -3353
Nebraska -2269
New Mexico -719
Puerto Rico -3781
34 states were migration gainers
Wyoming 1368
Rhode Island 1505
Virginia 1935
West Virginia 2899
Iowa 3911
Ohio 3956
Pennsylvania 4273
Vermont 4864
Wisconsin 5575
South Dakota 6603
Oregon 9181
Washington 9204
Connecticut 9717
Kentucky 11204
Delaware 12826
Colorado 14731
New Hampshire 14851
Maine 16340
Arkansas 16840
Missouri 17803
Indiana 19036
Montana 19791
Alabama 23380
Oklahoma 26210
Nevada 27516
Utah 33380
Idaho 49289
Georgia 57629
Tennessee 63141
South Carolina 67971
North Carolina 95429
Arizona 97504
Texas 197492
Florida 259480
As I noted, this is my first cut of the data, I will be looking at this through the next week to discern patterns to be aware of.
I only wish I could sell everything get out of New York but my parents seem destined to live forever.
the population of the United States grew in the past year by 392,665, or 0.1%, the lowest rate since the nation’s founding
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Obviously not counting the 1.7 million illegal aliens that have entered this year.
Wait til the vaxxed start keeping over this winter from seasonal flu and upper respiratory.
What are we gonna keep?
Auto correct is a tool of the devil. 😆
Sorry, I didn’t know...
You can trust the census count, just like the vote count. Don’t worry, the population went up by about 2 million wetbacks in 2021. It’s going to be a booming census in 2030.
Interesting that they list a “drop in fertility”. Yup, that’s called “abortion”.
How could the US have gained population in 2021??? COVID was going to kill off such a huge percentage!
Interesting that they list a “drop in fertility”. Yup, that’s called “abortion”.
Fertility has nothing to do with abortion.
Fertility is the capability to produce offspring through reproduction following the onset of sexual maturity. The fertility rate is the average number of children born by a female during her lifetime and is quantified demographically.
I would suggest it is more a function of less women of child bearing age. Ie. 15 to 45. Not everything the government puts out is about a social agenda. Sometimes information is just that, information.
How could the US have gained population in 2021??? COVID was going to kill off such a huge percentage!
I should have also posted the US Totals
Total Population Change 392,665
Natural Increase 148,043
Births 3,581,986
Deaths 3,433,943
Net Migration 244,622
First thing to note is that census data runs from July to June so these numbers reflect July 2020 to June 2021. The babies born from June 2020 to November 2020 were conceived before March 2020 when the pandemic shut down the US. I suspect next years Natural Increase will be negative.
The Net Migration column has the following footnote explaining what it is counting. Note it is NET so it takes those coming here and subtracts those who have left. There are separate tables that will be released later that will show the gross numbers that bring you to the NET.
Net international migration for the United States includes the international migration of both native and foreign-born populations. Specifically, it includes: (a) the net international migration of the foreign born, (b) the net migration of natives to and from the United States, (c) the net migration between the United States and Puerto Rico, and (d) the net movement of the Armed Forces population between the United States and overseas.
I did not post above the International and domestic migration numbers by state from which the total net migration numbers come from. Looking at the chart just now, I see every state had a net positive in international migration. Every state that shows a net loss in Net Migration above plus four additional states had a net loss in Domestic Migration. The 4 additional states are Virginia, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Washington State (just 29 people)
Let's have another cup of coffee and then re-read what I wrote: if those fertile young women become pregnant and then kill their baby before birth, then that is one less in the "average number of children born".
We don't have "fewer women of child bearing age" - we have fewer women becoming pregnant and many of those who become pregnant are killing their unborn children.
The upshot of my statement is, that abortion has artificially altered the reproduction rate of millions of our fertile young women. The end result is a reduction of our available brain trust, native work force, and the rapid death of the United States we knew and loved.
Yeah. And the millions more ‘’living in the shadows’’.
Shadows my foot, they’re all over the damn place.
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