I know how I can guarantee a probability of exactly zero for any vaccine side effects, for myself at least. It’s working so far.
so_real wrote: “I am happy for you and your family. When 5% of the vaccine batch lots are responsible for 100% of the VAERS adverse events reported, you had a 95% probability of dodging that bullet (assuming a uniform distribution).”
Lots vary in size therefore the distribution isn’t uniform.
so_real wrote: “When it comes to heart attacks, strokes, and autoimmune disorders, 5% is too great a risk for folks like me. I had a 99.997% probability of surviving Covid without hospitalization. I risked it; I caught the Covid; and I survived without hospitalization. I chose the 99% odds over the 95% odds and it was a healthy choice for me.”
You do realize the survival rate for polio was also 99%? Did you take the polio vaccine?
Exactly.
so_real wrote: “I am happy for you and your family. When 5% of the vaccine batch lots are responsible for 100% of the VAERS adverse events reported, you had a 95% probability of dodging that bullet (assuming a uniform distribution).”
You continue to ignore that lot sizes are not uniform therefor you cannot assume a normal distribution.