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To: SaxxonWoods; Mom MD

“Colorado having a wave, cases (hospitalizations) and deaths still going up.”

As the local Delta waves gradually spread Northward, Colorado seems to be among the very last States to crest. Neighboring States have.

The low density rural areas, or other lifestyle and policy factors, may sustain some slower Plateau-level burn after the peak subsides, like the neighboring States of New Mexico, Utah and Wyoming are seeing.

I think that part of the situation in Colorado, is that it was not hit as hard in prior waves, as were many other parts of the country, so there were just more people remaining for Delta to work its way through. Most everyone will have to get it eventually.

Better to take it now, after the bulk of the population and the overwhelming majority of the most vulnerable have been vaccinated, than before. Colorado is in relatively strong shape in terms of vaccination, so outcomes should be moderated.

Many of the modelers anticipate a bit of a seasonally enhanced rebound this Winter, before Delta decisively burns down to just a smoldering ember rate as an endemic disease. If that doesn’t occur soon (always hard to predict if a given year’s season will peak early, mid or late), I would expect that Colorado is near its Delta peak for cases, and hospitalization numbers should follow a week or two behind.


27 posted on 10/24/2021 11:35:44 AM PDT by BeauBo
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To: BeauBo

hopefully. it looked line colorado had peaked. couple weeks ago then numbers went up again. We will see


28 posted on 10/24/2021 2:10:20 PM PDT by Mom MD ( )
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