So if the district is +9 in Republican registration and Republicans have held the seat for 52 out of the last 54 years then why does this set the tone for 2022?
“So if the district is +9 in Republican registration and Republicans have held the seat for 52 out of the last 54 years then why does this set the tone for 2022?”
It doesn’t, unless the unthinkable happens.
When the Republican holds the seat by 10-15%, this story will disappear from the news cycles in less than a day. If reported at all, the media spin will be “Republican wins as expected, yawn.” If he *only* wins by 7 points or so however, the media will pretend that it’s a massive moral victory for Democrats everywhere, especially the blithering idiot in the White House.
When the Republicans win by 27 points, it will show the mood of the electorate.