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Justin Trudeau’s Chances Of Winning Snap Election Dwindle As Canadian Conservatives Surge
ZUBU Brothers: Market Knowledge Services ^ | 09/10/2021 | Tyler Durden

Posted on 09/10/2021 8:53:56 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

On Sept. 20, Canadians will head to the polls for a snap federal election called by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau in an effort to try and parlay his handling of the COVID pandemic into a four-year mandate. The plan was to strike while the iron's hot, so to speak.

Trudeau's primary motive is that since the last election in September, 2019, Trudeau has only commanded a minority in parliament, leaving him dependent on rival parties (mostly the left-leaning New Democrats) to govern. Trudeau argues the pandemic has changed Canada like WWIII changed Canada and the rest of the west, and that, due to this change, voters should now choose whom they want to call the shots going forward.

Unfortunately for Trudeau, the resurgence in COVID cases across North America over the past couple of months have left him vulnerable to the criticism that he placed the health of Canadians at risk in the name of "ambition." This take, along with Conservative leader Erin O'Toole's other criticisms of Trudeau, have apparently resonated with voters, leaving the Conservatives neck and neck with Trudeau's Liberals according to the latest polls, with early voting just about to begin.

The opposition Tories have 33% support compared with 31% for Trudeau’s Liberals and 19% for the left-leaning New Democratic Party, according to the latest Nanos Research Group survey. The Nanos survey, which was conducted for CTV News and the Globe and Mail newspaper, is based on a three-day rolling average and has a margin of error of 2.8%, according to Bloomberg.

If those numbers hold through the last 10 days of the campaign, Canada is facing another minority parliament in which the government needs the support of another party to pass legislation. Liberals could still win the most seats will losing the popular vote, like they did in 2019. Support for Trudeau has waned as the New Democratic Party has attracted more younger Canadians with more progressive politics.

During a Thursday night debate, Trudeau was attacked frm all sides. O’Toole, who simultaneously criticized the prime minister’s record on fighting climate change and his motivation for triggering the vote, accused Trudeau of having "Great Ambition."

O’Toole also hammered Trudeau over his failure to secure the release of two Canadian men who were arrested in China likely as political retribution for Canada's arrest of Huawei CFO Meng Wanzhou at behest of the US. Trudeau replied with a memorable line: "you do not simply lob tomatoes across the Pacific" to illustrate his "delicate" approach to handling the situation with China.

Trudeau was perhaps shaken by a major loss earlier that day, when the Conservatives won what could be decisive support from the popular premier of Quebec, Canada's second most populous province. "For the Quebec nation, Mr. O’Toole's approach is a good one," Premier Francois Legault said, warning that victory for any other party could prove "dangerous" for provincial autonomy.

When Trudeau was first elected in 2015, he ended nearly a decade of conservative rule under PM Stephen Harper. At the time, pundits in the US, Canada and all over the English-speaking world praised Trudeau's win - despite his obvious inexperience and other flaws - as a generational shift. But Trudeau seems to finally have run out of steam barely halfway through. And in just a couple of weeks, Canada's voters might finally relegate the political scion to the scrap heap of history.


TOPICS: Canada; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: canada; justintrudeau; snapelections
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1 posted on 09/10/2021 8:53:56 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Sounds like this means Canada will go further left?


2 posted on 09/10/2021 9:13:57 PM PDT by Williams (Stop Tolerating The Intolerant)
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To: Williams

RE: Sounds like this means Canada will go further left?

I fail to see the difference between these Canadian “Conservatives” and their “Liberal” opposition when it comes to Covid Policy. They’re both still going to implement Vaccine Passport.


3 posted on 09/10/2021 9:20:20 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: Williams

You do understand that the liberals losing is NOT going further left don’t you? Granted, the “conservative” leader is not exactly confidence inspiring, but he’s definitely to the right of the 3 other major players in the game.


4 posted on 09/10/2021 9:21:34 PM PDT by Don W (When blacks riot, neighbourhoods and cities burn. When whites riot, nations and continents burn.)
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To: SeekAndFind

The Peoples Party of Canada is the only choice for freedom and liberty COVID wise in the election.

The PPC is surging in polls it may not get too many seats but the present situation points to a stalemate no one gets a majority.

The leader of the PPC Maxime Bernier on Twitter..

https://twitter.com/MaximeBernier


5 posted on 09/10/2021 9:36:21 PM PDT by Nextrush (FREEDOM IS EVERYBODYS BUSINESS, REMEMBER PASTOR NIEMOLLER)
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To: Don W

Erin “No Toole” the Tory leader in Canada fumbled on guns in the debate the other week the Not Conservative Party may get a few percent more in the popular vote but that won’t give them more seats than the Liberals.

Maxime Bernier already the fiscal conservative by far in this race.

The Peoples Party of Canada is now the party of the unvaccinated 20 percent of the electorate IMHO many on the Right, others on the Left.


6 posted on 09/10/2021 9:40:59 PM PDT by Nextrush (FREEDOM IS EVERYBODYS BUSINESS, REMEMBER PASTOR NIEMOLLER)
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To: SeekAndFind

concerning the graph in the OP...

should Canada join the US and always use blue for the liberal side of politics and red for the conservative side?


7 posted on 09/10/2021 9:42:34 PM PDT by ChronicMA
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To: SeekAndFind

Either way you’re probably looking at a coalition government.

CC


8 posted on 09/10/2021 9:46:12 PM PDT by Celtic Conservative (My cats are more amusing than 200 channels worth of TV.)
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To: SeekAndFind

I think Trudeau wants out of what is a crappy job and that’s why he called it. He has been the worst kind of globalist


9 posted on 09/10/2021 9:49:53 PM PDT by toddausauras (How far will the left go in terms of destroying our personal freedoms?)
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To: SeekAndFind

at last night’s debate, Turdeau looked like a ball lost in high grass


10 posted on 09/10/2021 9:52:00 PM PDT by llevrok (I'm old enough to remember metal toys in Cracker-Jacks.)
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To: toddausauras

Maybe Trudeau wants to love in LbS.


11 posted on 09/10/2021 10:06:53 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

*live in L.A.


12 posted on 09/10/2021 10:07:18 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: Nextrush

Perhaps, but the PPC has as much likelihood of winning the election as the Libertarians do in the USA.

Unfortunately the Tool is the only choice we have at this point in time.


13 posted on 09/10/2021 10:29:33 PM PDT by Don W (When blacks riot, neighbourhoods and cities burn. When whites riot, nations and continents burn.)
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To: ChronicMA

The Blue-Red thing used to be Incumbents in blue, challenger in red. Then it started alternating between democrats red, Pubbies blue until the 1980 election, where the colors were made red for pubbies and blue for democrats and it stuck, because the press wanted to reduce the association between the communists and the democrats.


14 posted on 09/10/2021 10:33:07 PM PDT by Don W (When blacks riot, neighbourhoods and cities burn. When whites riot, nations and continents burn.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Wondered what you meant by that LOL


15 posted on 09/10/2021 10:42:02 PM PDT by steve86 (Prophecies of Maelmhaedhoc O'Morgair (Latin form: Malachy))
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To: Don W

I saw alternating colors through the 2000 election, that is the election when the color pattern was set in stone.


16 posted on 09/10/2021 10:46:19 PM PDT by ChronicMA
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To: SeekAndFind

If conservatives win, watch Biden & Co. retaliate by keeping the American border closed to Canadians.


17 posted on 09/10/2021 11:05:47 PM PDT by AlaskaErik (In time of peace, prepare for war.)
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To: ChronicMA

I guess it depends on where in the nation you are. Here on the west coast it seems to have stuck upside down forever


18 posted on 09/10/2021 11:06:14 PM PDT by Don W (When blacks riot, neighbourhoods and cities burn. When whites riot, nations and continents burn.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Until recently, I have actually never heard the ballet dancer speak. What an effeminate piece of work that tool is. Everything the left wants their men to be. Weak and wimpy and easily told what to do.


19 posted on 09/11/2021 12:50:05 AM PDT by vpintheak (Live free, or die!)
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To: SeekAndFind

Trudeau and California’s Gavin Newsom seem like twins. Two clueless punk ass valley boys,


20 posted on 09/11/2021 3:19:17 AM PDT by Joe Boucher (Dementia Joe and the Whore, leaders of the Free world.)
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