In one way or another it would have happened even if Trump had been reelected and pulled out in May. But I don’t think it would have been the disorganized mess that Biden is overseeing.
Trump took the Afghan fighting season into account [pullout in May] to minimize the damage to US interests.
Biden's puppeteers took the Afghan fighting season into account [see post #18] to maximize the damage to US interests and maximize the benefit to Muslim and Chinese interests.
“But I don’t think it would have been the disorganized mess that Biden is overseeing.”
Yes. At the very least we should have taken actions that showed that we sought to minimize suffering. Biden just gave up.