[SES1066]

Left out of this 'blame game' about GOP Florida & Texas is both Texas' Biden-opened border AND the apparent COVID climate cycle which caused these same states to peak early in summer of 2020 and then moved north with their peaks coming in autumn.

In COVID CASES, Florida peaked in early August 2020 (15k), dropped to a sixth in September (2.5k), peaked in Jan. 2021 (19.3k), dropped till June (1k) and has hit a new peak NOW (25k).

However, note the difference in FATALITIES for these same peaks (note that deaths lag detection); 08/20 High 242, 10/20 High 71, 01/21 High 215, 06/21 High 54, 08/21 High [NOW] 88! Thus for Florida at least, while we have 10k more daily detections, we have 80% fewer deaths!

To me it looks like, at this view of graphs, a good ttrend even in GOP-Evil Florida!

[Paul R.]

I thought that too, about FL, but FL changed their reporting, which temporarily severely distorts the fatalities curve. Basically, a large time lag in fatalities reports was abruptly added where you see the recent fatalities curve suddenly drop, instead of following the cases with only the usual ~2 week disease progression lag. In effect, a 2nd lag, this one bureaucratic, was suddenly added. Some fatalities in the drop are caught in the lag - how many is unknown.

I don't know of any other major "hot" state with a similar curve disparity. (Not saying such does not exist - I suppose any other state could make a similar change.)

Now, I am still hopeful the increased efforts on the treatment end, esp. monoclonal antibody treatments, will help hold down FL's fatalities numbers these last couple weeks, and then the rolloff from the cases peak, which seems to be developing, will kick in. But, the bottom line is that I just don't think we'll know what that fatalities curve, since its recent apparent peak, actually looks like, for a couple more weeks - maybe even a month.