Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: SeekAndFind

IMAGINE on Big Island there are 100000 old folks and 100000 young folks.

Let’s say the risk of Covid death is .5% for unvaccinated old folks and .1% for vaccinated old folks.

Let’s say the risk of Covid death is .01% for unvaccinated young folks folks and .005% for vaccinated young folks.

Imagine 90% of the old folks get vaccinated and 20% of the young folks get vaccinated.

unvaccinated old dead 10000x.5%=50
unvaccinated young dead 80000x.01%=8

vaccinated old dead 90000x.1%=90
vaccinated young dead 20000x.005%=1

The death toll would be 91 vaccinated, 58 unvaccinated.


12 posted on 08/07/2021 9:48:56 PM PDT by Brian Griffin
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]


To: Brian Griffin

The problem is we were told the Pfizer vaccine was 95% effective in preventing a Covid infection in the first place, which is not reflected in your calculations. Your vaccinated old should be (90,000 * .05) * .1% = 4.5 deaths.


23 posted on 08/08/2021 12:03:36 AM PDT by Mozzafiato
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies ]

To: Brian Griffin

IMAGINE you just wasted time doing a bunch a calculations on garbage input numbers and so came up with garbage output numbers. GIGO.

Now IMAGINE how much time and effort you could save by instead borrowing a game number spinner from the kids to come up with bogus, meaningless numbers.


27 posted on 08/08/2021 2:45:25 AM PDT by BiglyCommentary
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson