> scheduled for 2:24 am on 9 May, with a time window of uncertainty of 6 hours
Well, that nails it down to the second. And every minute the time is off, moves the impact point - bigly. So, they really have no idea if it is going to hit in Italy. It’s just a guess that it will happen on that orbit.
It’s an Eyetalien website, so naturally there concern is where in Italy it’s likely to hit, if it hits Italy. Pretty much anywhere in Italy.