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How could the ‘bellwether counties’ get it so wrong?
Must Read Alaska ^ | 11/06/20 | Suzanne Downing

Posted on 05/04/2021 2:22:00 PM PDT by VRW Conspirator

Several counties in America are considered the “bellwethers,” the ones that nearly always vote for the eventual winner of the presidential race. And by “nearly always,” we mean it’s remarkable how accurate they are throughout history.

This year, the bellwether counties voted heavily for Donald Trump, and for many of them, it appears they have broken their near-perfect records of predicting the winner, if the current trends hold and Biden is elected president.

Valencia County, New Mexico – perfect record with the electoral college winner since 1952 (longest current perfect streak). 2020: Trump 54%, Biden 44.%

Vigo County, Indiana (county seat: Terre Haute) – has had 2 misses (1908, 1952) from 1888 on, and a perfect record since 1956. From 1960 to 2004, Vigo County has been within 3 percent of the national presidential vote every election. 2020: Trump – 56.20%, Biden – 41.45%

Westmoreland County, Virginia (county seat: Montross) – two misses since 1928 (in 1948 and 1960), perfect since 1964. 2020: Not posted.

Ottawa County, Ohio (county seat: Port Clinton) – one miss since 1948 (in 1960), perfect since 1964. 2020: Trump – 60.8%, Biden – 37.7%.

Wood County, Ohio (county seat: Bowling Green) – one miss since 1964 (in 1976), perfect since 1980. 2020: Trump – 52.86%, Biden – 45.24%

Kent County, Delaware – two misses since 1928 (in 1948 and in 1992). 2020: Not posted.

Coös County, New Hampshire (county seat: Lancaster) – two misses since 1892 (in 1968 and 2004) 2020: Trump – 52.2, Biden – 46.2%.

Essex County, Vermont – one miss since 1964 (in 1976), perfect since 1980. 2020: Trump – 57.10%, Biden – 37.91%.

Juneau County, Wisconsin – one miss since 1952 (in 1960), perfect since 1964. 2020: Trump – 8,749, Biden – 4,747.

Sawyer County, Wisconsin – one miss since 1952 (in 1960), perfect since 1964. 2020: Trump – 5,883, Biden – 4,494.

Sargent County, North Dakota (county seat: Forman) – one miss since 1948 (in 1988). 2020: Trump – 59.96%, Biden – 35.05%

Blaine County, Montana (county seat: Chinook) – one miss since 1916 (in 1988). 2020: Biden – 51%, Trump – 47%

Clallam County, Washington – two misses (1968, 1976) since 1920. 2020: Biden – 51.87%, Trump – 45.78%.

Stanislaus County, California (county seat Modesto) – one miss since 1972 (in 2016). 2020: Biden – 52.81%, Trump – 45.21%.

Ventura County, California – two misses since 1920 (in 1976 and 2016). 2020: Biden – 60.32%, Trump – 37.78%.

Merced County, California (county seat Merced) – one miss since 1972 (in 2016). 2020: Biden – 55.20%, Trump – 42.30%.

Hidalgo County, New Mexico (county seat: Lordsburg) – one miss since 1928 (in 1968), perfect since 1972. 2020: Trump – 56.7%, Biden – 41.7%.

Bexar County, Texas (county seat: San Antonio) – two misses since 1932 (in 1968 and 2016). 2020: Biden – 127,507, Trump – 89,991.

Val Verde County, Texas – two misses since 1924 (in 1968 and 2016). 2020: Trump – 7839, Biden – 6401

Hillsborough County, Florida (county seat: Tampa) – two misses since 1928 (in 1992 and 2016). 2020: Biden – 52.69%, Trump – 45.87%

Calhoun County, South Carolina – one miss since 1972 (in 1980), perfect since 1984. 2020: Trump – 4,302, Biden – 3903.

Colleton County, South Carolina – one miss since 1968 (in 1980), perfect since 1984. 2020: Trump – 54.12%, Biden – 45.20%.

Washington County, Maine – one miss since 1972 (in 1976), perfect since 1980. 2020: Trump – 59.1%, Biden – 38.5.

While these are the top bellwether counties, there are many more that are considered to be predictive. The entire list is found at Wikipedia.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_election_bellwether_counties_in_the_United_States


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bellwether; counties; elections2020
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To: sam_whiskey

wait... don’t tell me you think Biden actually WON do you?


21 posted on 05/04/2021 3:18:47 PM PDT by Mr. K (No consequence of repealing obamacare is worse than obamacare itself)
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To: VRW Conspirator
How could the ‘bellwether counties’ get it so wrong?

They didn't.

22 posted on 05/04/2021 3:24:12 PM PDT by pgyanke (Republicans get in trouble when not living up to their principles. Democrats... when they do.)
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To: libertylover

23 posted on 05/04/2021 3:24:35 PM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion, or satire. Or both.)
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To: VRW Conspirator

Next time cheaters will have to make sure to manipulate these counties in line with the official results. Sloppy.


24 posted on 05/04/2021 3:40:07 PM PDT by Still Thinking (Freedom is NOT a loophole!)
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It's a coup, straight up.

When Bald Pate Nate set the PV target in early October as "+3-4% points PV = Biden win", I mean, C'MON MAN: "Hey you better prepare to adjust your PV up to 3+ in these places you intend to steal.". And they didn't prepare, and instead tried to make it happen over Election Night.

The WI county and the two NM counties, to me, are the hard tell.

Not possible to have this gold standard fail, without the direct application of electoral fraud by Xiden's campaign. Do I even have to note that the only election that comes close to the laughable outlier status of 2020 is -- 1960. Case closed.


8 posted on 1/3/2021, 2:47:06 PM by StAnDeliver (Eric Coomer of Dominion Voting Systems Is The Blue Dress)

25 posted on 05/04/2021 3:44:17 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (Eric Coomer of Dominion Voting Systems Is The Blue Dress)
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To: ConservativeMind

The same thing happened in 1960. Ohio has gone with the winner except last year and in 1960—when the DEMs also cheated their way to the top.. Remember Chicago (Mayor Daley and Texas LBJ)?


26 posted on 05/04/2021 3:54:22 PM PDT by RightLady (Save Western Civilization.)
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To: VRW Conspirator

Without taking a deep dive into the mechanism and history of the “bellwether counties”, I know what I watched throughout the entire election season. A long-time/old-school/retail politician totally changed his stripes and was put into hiding by the virus, emerging to small groups of true believers and media (but I repeat myself). Even in the ugly mind twists of early-phase dementia, that kind of behavior shift is very questionable unless the candidate has been given absolute assurance that the “fix was in” and all he had to do was go through the motions while letting the mechanics pull the required levers to ensure the vote went the way they planned.


27 posted on 05/04/2021 3:57:40 PM PDT by T-Bird45 (It feels like the seventies, and it shouldn't.)
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To: VRW Conspirator

Thanks for posting this, it will be shared.


28 posted on 05/04/2021 4:01:52 PM PDT by simpson96
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To: VRW Conspirator

Essex County Vermont is beautiful... Not Bernie Country... 😀


29 posted on 05/04/2021 4:02:32 PM PDT by Deplorable American1776 (Rest In PEACE, Rush H. Limbaugh III. You are missed already...)
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To: VRW Conspirator

You’ll notice that probably the largest county to defy the trend is Bexar County, Texas. San Antonio. If you are going to do fraud, you only need to do it in the largest counties to throw an election.


30 posted on 05/04/2021 4:08:08 PM PDT by crusty old prospector
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To: VRW Conspirator

Oops, missed one. Throw in Tampa.


31 posted on 05/04/2021 4:09:11 PM PDT by crusty old prospector
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To: sam_whiskey

Your post assumes that Biden actually had more votes, which is RIDICULOUS.


32 posted on 05/04/2021 4:17:55 PM PDT by A strike ( Barr to Gitmo, Fauxi to Florence supermax, Roberts to Terre Haute)
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To: Mr. K

I think he won the popular vote and that cheating probably delivered him the electoral college. It will never be proven though.


33 posted on 05/04/2021 4:32:45 PM PDT by sam_whiskey (Peace through Strength. )
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To: ConservativeMind

To answer the headline question, they didn’t get it wrong.


34 posted on 05/04/2021 4:53:52 PM PDT by A strike ( Barr to Gitmo, Fauxi to Florence supermax, Roberts to Terre Haute)
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To: Dr. Franklin

Biden won Westmoreland County Va that way.


35 posted on 05/04/2021 5:01:54 PM PDT by robowombat (Orthodox )
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To: Mr. K

>>In order to believe it was as simple as that you have to believe Biden was immensely more popular than

OBAMA was!


36 posted on 05/04/2021 5:22:57 PM PDT by a fool in paradise (Lean on Joe Biden to follow Donald Trump's example and donate his annual salary to charity. )
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To: sam_whiskey; Mr. K
You’re always a bellwether until you’re not. The whole state of Missouri used to be a bellwether.

Funny thing about Missouri - it was a "bellwether" until the Democrats figured out that even The Lightbringer couldn't win the state for them [Obama lost in 2008 by 4000 votes out of 2.9 million].

Interestingly, in 2012 Milt Romney beat the Halfrican by 260,000 votes out of 2.7 million.

Trump beat Cankles in 2016 by 525,000 out of 2.66 million, and beat joek and The Ho by 465,000 out of 2.97 million in 2020.

Notice a trend?

Apparently, 250,000 to 500,000 Democrat voters wandered away from the Missouri voting booth when the DNC figured out it wasn't worth spending the money or the effort there.

Or they never really existed in the first place...  winking face

37 posted on 05/04/2021 5:38:47 PM PDT by kiryandil (China Joe and Paycheck Hunter - the Chink in America's defenses)
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To: T-Bird45
unless the candidate has been given absolute assurance that the “fix was in” and all he had to do was go through the motions

He let it slip a few times: "I don't need your vote" and “We have put together, I think, the most extensive and inclusive voter fraud organization in the history of American politics”.

38 posted on 05/04/2021 5:43:12 PM PDT by kiryandil (China Joe and Paycheck Hunter - the Chink in America's defenses)
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To: All

Let’s look at the number of counties obama won in 2008 versus 2012 versus 2016 versus 2020.

The number of counties won decreased and the vote totals grew.

My feeling is they were using the dominion machines in 2012 and on


39 posted on 05/04/2021 6:15:25 PM PDT by South Dakota (Patriotism is the new terrorism)
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To: Governor Dinwiddie

Surgical cheating is a good term for it.

As is putsch.


40 posted on 05/04/2021 7:17:00 PM PDT by ifinnegan ( Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
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