It's not a great idea to bet against him, that's for sure. :^) My guess is, SpaceX will put someTHING on the Martian surface by 2030, and I'd NOT be surprised if it happens in 2022. They'll want to test landing systems, and until they do, they'll never get man-rating on that Starship [sic] they've been systematically destroying with every test the past year or so. :^) In nine years? They'll have been going to the Moon for four or five years, and it also won't surprise me if they put the first humans on Mars in 2030. And no one else will be able to do that for a long time. In another tab, I'm streaming a vid of Jeremy Clarkson enjoying the Model X.
Agreed that Musk's patently obvious goal is to get one or maybe more cargo-laden SNs into Mars orbit in the 2022 launch window.
I believe StarShip SN15 is GO FOR LAUNCH early tomorrow morning ABOUT 7am PST / 10am EST and I have a STRONG feeling this one is going to LAND without incident.
SpaceX overwhelms with a multitude of active projects, building it's knowledge base with Falcon9 StarLink missions, Crew Dragon manned missions to ISS, StarShip testing for future Mars landing (and now hopefully for moon as well), and probably some classified projects I'm unaware of..
Elon is today's Goddard, Oppenheimer, etc.. The car and rocket visionary of our time.
Tune in early tomorrow morning to watch the SN15 launch live on YouTube, FReepers! Let's hope it doesn't get scrubbed again! GOD SPEED, SN15.. LET'S DO THIS! I predict it WILL land without any sort of "sudden rocket disassembly", lol.