China is preparing for war with the US. I really could give two shits about disputed islands around China. China could sink our carriers in a heartbeat if they wanted. God help us if Biden is commander in chief during a war.
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So if China blocks all access in the West Philippines Sea, I guess all sea cargo from Asia and the Middle East will have to travel West around the Horn of Africa or wait... the Suez Canal.
Guess you don’t know how much of our shipping passes through there (most going from the Singapore Straits to the Taiwan/Philippines sea border before reaching the Pacific.
Make it here then we don't need to worry about that.
China could sink our carriers in a heartbeat if they wanted.
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Nope. Even with direct fire the US Navy was hard pressed to sink an obsolete CVN. The old CVN used in nuclear weapons test was not sunk either
China **might** be able to get one hit with its Dengfong 21D, but sink one? No way.
On the other hand, perhaps a few dozen container ships could succeed where missiles fail - given the recent track record of Aegis destroyers vs container ships.
If china blocks trade it’s a big deal that can be negotiated. It’s in everyone’s best interest to allow trade. If China takes a disputed island or Taiwan or Hong Kong I’d rather not go to war over it- especially with Biden leading things. Anyone who thinks a war with China would be anything but catastrophic is an idiot.