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Phil Scott is Vermont’s RINO Governor.. I think he’s up for re-election in 2022 if he decides to seek a fourth term. The vile Senator Leahy’s Seat is also up in 2022.

It’d be interesting if Scott challenged Leahy. Apparently Scott is popular, and there was a poll last year that showed Scott with a small lead over Leahy. As with any poll that far out it was likely meaningless, and I would expect Leahy to prevail. I doubt Scott would challenge him anyway and is more likely to seek a fourth term as governor.

If Leahy retires then I think Scott would have a decent chance in an open seat race, but even then, in a state that far left, Scott could easily lose.

The chance of there being a Republican Senator from Vermont would probably be more likely if Scott kept the governorship and age took Leahy or Sanders, and then Scott replaced them. But in that case a special election must be held within six months of the vacancy, so the R Senator from Vermont would have a short tenure.

Since I don’t care who the governor of Vermont is, I’d rather Scott run for Senate even if it is a long shot. Would he be a good Senator? No, he almost certainly would not be. He’d probably be as insufferable as Romney, but with a worse voting record. In fact, if he ever were in the position Manchin now is, I could even see a Senator Scott pulling a Lincoln Chaffee and switching parties, at least for caucusing.

But if the filibuster survives through 2022, then even a bad Senator Scott would be better than Leahy, and might be key in keeping the Democrats from winning a Manchin-proof majority, notwithstanding the threat he goes Chafee. And it’s not like a conservative can win in Vermont, so better to have a RINO than Leahy or some other equally bad Democrat.