Posted on 03/16/2021 8:19:45 AM PDT by Kaslin
Upper-class whites have alienated African Americans and Hispanics from the Democratic coalition. That’s why Democrats have gone berserk—they’re expecting to lose in 2022 and 2024.
In the middle of their legislative orgy of socialistic giveaways and identity politics, Democrats might want to contemplate that their political priorities do not command the support of a majority of American voters. Moreover, the warnings on this front do not come from the right—they come from leftists themselves.
When an editorial columnist from the bastion of liberalism, The New York Times, writes that “Democrats are worried—very worried—about the future of the Hispanic vote,” you know something’s up. As it turns out, the radicalized “woke” among upper-class whites have done a good job alienating both African Americans and Hispanics from the Democratic coalition.
Times columnist Tom Edsall cited polling data from Public Opinion Strategies showing that Democratic support among self-described conservative Hispanics shifted by a whopping 50 points over eight years. Democrats won these voters by a 10-point margin in 2012, but lost them by 40 percentage points last year.
Conservative African Americans likewise showed migration away from Democrats. While the African-American vote moved away from Democrats on a smaller scale, the party’s dependence on winning the vast majority of Hispanic and African American votes to achieve electoral success makes any migration away from Democrats by minority populations a cause for alarm.
A separate interview with lefty data analyst David Shor reinforced the views in Edsall’s column. Shor argues that political polarization by educational status has in many ways supplanted polarization by race.
While the Democrat vote increased by seven percentage points among white college graduates in 2020, the party’s support among African Americans dropped by one to two percentage points, among Hispanics dropped by eight to nine points (and as much as 14-15 points in areas like South Florida), and among Asian Americans by roughly five points. Shor notes that “I don’t think a lot of people expected Donald Trump’s GOP to have a much more diverse support base than Mitt Romney’s did in 2012. But that’s what happened” (emphasis original).
In observing that “highly educated people tend to have more ideologically coherent and extreme views than working-class ones,” Shor finds that the migration of “woke” college-educated whites into the Democratic coalition has radicalized the party—thereby repelling non-whites among the working-class:
As Democrats have traded non-college-educated voters for college-educated ones, white liberals’ share of voice and clout in the Democratic Party has gone up. And since white voters are sorting on ideology more than nonwhite voters, we’ve ended up in a situation where white liberals are more left wing than Black and Hispanic Democrats on pretty much every issue: taxes, health care, policing, and even on racial issues or various measures of ‘racial resentment.’ So as white liberals increasingly define the party’s image and messaging, that’s going to turn off nonwhite conservative Democrats and push them against us.
Shor considers these developments a flashing red light for the left: “Most voters are not liberals. If we polarize the electorate on ideology—or if nationally prominent Democrats raise the salience of issues that polarize the electorate on ideology—we’re going to lose a lot of votes.”
Several of the political analysts Edsall quotes in his column agree with Shor’s contention that a radicalized Democratic Party could alienate many more voters than it attracts:
So much for the oft-repeated leftist mantra about how “demography is destiny,” and the supposedly enduring nature of the Democratic coalition.
Looking ahead to next year’s midterm elections to Congress, in which the president’s party traditionally loses seats, Shor worries that ideological polarization will lead to an electoral bloodbath for the left. In his view, those historic trends, coupled with the structurally conservative nature of Congress—one where Republican voters are distributed more efficiently than Democratic voters, who are largely concentrated in urban areas—mean Democrats have very grim chances in the next several elections.
What does Shor think Democrats should do about this looming catastrophe? Rather than moderating their policies, Shor thinks the left should use the current Congress to tilt the playing field permanently in its direction—by requiring red states to redraw their congressional districts in a more pro-Democrat manner, and admitting new states that will increase Democratic votes in the Senate:
Since the maps in the House of Representatives are so biased against us, if we don’t pass a redistricting reform, our chance of keeping the House is very low. And then the Senate is even more biased against us than the House. So, it’s also very important that we add as many states as we can.
Currently, even if we have an exceptionally good midterm, the most likely outcome is that we lose one or two Senate seats. And then, going into 2024, we have something like seven or eight Democrats who are in states that are more Republican than the country overall.
Basically, we have this small window right now to pass redistricting reform and create states. And if we don’t use this window, we will almost certainly lose control of the federal government and not be in a position to pass laws again potentially for a decade.
Those kinds of potential electoral consequences for the Democratic coalition should prompt the newly radicalized left to rethink their policies, rather than trying to rig the system to offset the effects of their unpopular ideas. Sadly, however, they probably won’t.
“What does Shor think Democrats should do about this looming catastrophe? Rather than moderating their policies, Shor thinks the left should use the current Congress to tilt the playing field permanently in its direction—by requiring red states to redraw their congressional districts in a more pro-Democrat manner, and admitting new states that will increase Democratic votes in the Senate:”
Never mind winning the hearts and minds of these “uneducated blue collar people”.
Exactly.
American minorities’ taste for MSM/US government’s, by now, institutionalized and wholly de humanizing subservience MUST be diminishing. It’s shameful how MSM/US government efforts hold whole elements of the American population, as if in thrall, to a social, economic, and intellectual limbo.
With the level, kind and frequency of mind-numbing, smarmy and frankly gag-worthy propagandizing, it’s still incredible, to ME, how American minorities have avoided the ‘self-worth bedrock’ people reach when incessant, systematic patronization locks them in such servile stasis. US minorities’ dependence on the government freezes them into inertia and desperate immobility, like a nightmare!
The Democrats truly believe that if you are black or any other minority, you’re supposed to listen to some white Antifa punk on a skateboard who spends his days taking smoking marijuana and trying to figure out what sex he is. He knows more and is smarter than all minorities.
You’re correct. The fraudulent election is old news and no longer serves our purpose. Not clear on what your argument is.
They control the vote counting now. They won’t lose in 2022.
———-
So true. The game is rigged. A few Repubs will be allowed in the club ( Rino) version to give the illusion of backlash but the cabal prevailed this cycle and anyone who thinks they don’t feel emboldened to do it again is mistaken
President Trump made major inroads into the minority vote. The only way Biden could've made up the difference is with the white vote.
It's kind of like the Russia collusion thing. President Dr. Trump went around saying, "There was no collusion. There was no collusion", when, in fact, there WAS collusion. It was perpetrated by Hillary Clinton in the form of the fake Steele dossier.
He made the occasional reference to the fake dossier but he never really hammered it home.
Unfortunately I agree in principle with what some others have said on this forum, nothing will matter with the courts and the voting systems and rules we followed in 2020 - the DEMs DID NOT WIN FAIRLY - wasn’t even close where it mattered and it didn’t matter to thse that it should have!
It worked completely as the DEMs and deep state planned and what is going to change that in 2020 - I see nothing being done about that even now!
Go back to all my post in 2020 - from the moment the CV was announce and even more after the BS about mail-in voting (in the HR-1) and I was warning the steal was in for the election! REPs as much as the DEM and the deep state (nobamas govt employees 7 others) were all behind it and still are in control!
WE THE PEOPLE should have stopped it and then when we didn’t should’ve been in DC by the millions on Jan 6 to pressure congress congress to fix it (one way or another)!
I fear we are too far down the road to tyranny now to be effective as all the doors are closing behind us and our options are disappearing in front of our eyes ahead!
How Woke Whites Are Turning Minorities Into Republican Voters
________________________________________________
I’m pretty skeptical that we’ll see this in any significant numbers in the future.
Democrats never cared about minority citizens anyhow. It was always an ego trip for white liberal 'elites'... to ride to power.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.