The first stage is a fracturing of a country followed by ensuing chaos, which will give rise to strongman rule. There could be strongmen not just a strongman.
I don’t think we can honestly debate what’s next. There are myriad historical instances of a nation fracturing, but a majority of the population just went about their business unaware.
My great grandparents fled the Ukraine in the early 1920s after generations on the same farm, because they saw what was coming from mother Russia. I think most Americans are complacent and don’t understand what’s about to come cascading down from the Federal mountain. Most people don’t think past their noses, and I believe a lot of what’s about to happen is going to catch most folks offguard and completely unaware. This is how the Stalinists wrenched complete control of Russia. It’ll be a blitzkrieg.