New online COVID-19 mortality risk calculator could help determine who should get vaccines first

medicalxpress ^ | 12/12/2020 | Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health

[devane617]

The researchers who developed the calculator expect it to be useful to public health authorities for assessing mortality risks in different communities, and for prioritizing certain groups for vaccination as COVID-19 vaccines become available.

The algorithm underlying the calculator uses information from existing large studies to estimate risk of COVID-19 mortality for individuals based on age, gender, sociodemographic factors and a variety of different health conditions.

[delta7]

I do believe the good Lord has a lot to say who “ needs” protection. As for myself and family, we do not need it, Nor will we take it. I am surprised at all the commotion, hype, and push for it. God’s protection trumps anything man can develop. One look at all the corruption being uncovered, everywhere, everything, nothing today seems to be untainted, pure and good. Leads me to believe the vacine has also been corrupted in some way.

[Grampa Dave]

Thanks!

COVID-19 Mortality Risk Calculation:

Based on the information you have provided, the tool estimates that you have 2.2 (95% CI: 2.0 - 2.5 ) times the risk of dying from COVID-19 compared to the average risk for the US population.

Based on the estimated risk, you are categorized to be at Substantially elevated risk based on the follwing chart:

Fold-Risk Risk Category Color Code
<= 1.2 Close to or lower than average
> 1.2 to <= 2 Moderately elevated
> 2 to <= 5 Substantially elevated
> 5 to <= 10 High
> 10 Very High

Further, based on the information available from pandemic projections in your state of residence, the tool estimates an absolute rate of mortality of 1.0 (95% CI: 0.6 - 1.7 ) per 10000 individuals in subgroups of the population with a similar risk profile to yours during the period of 12/05/2020 - 12/25/2020.

This estimate is calculated based on the CDC’s Ensemble mortality forecast data..

*95% CI: Error bounds with 95% confidence.

[Sooth2222]

https://covid19risktools.com:8443/riskcalculator

Believe-It-Or-Not, according to the calculator, this 69 year old overweight white male, former smoker with a history of hypertension, a resident of the #1 state for COVID-19 mortality in the US, has a lower risk of dying from COVID-19 than the average risk of the US population.

I ran it three times. I also kinda suspected the result.

The MSM and the gov't are not being honest about the risk factors for actually dying from COVID-19.

[grobdriver]

Every member of congress and senate should be getting the first ones.

[allwrong57]

Fine with me, they can have mine. I’ve already had the dreaded killer 19.

[momincombatboots]

Its likely you would get an rna vax. Who wants that.

[SisterK]

Thanks for the link. I just did the on line risk and priority calculator and Sigh...looks like I will be the very last person on the planet to get a vaccine.