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To: palmer

No, the assumption is if split ticket voters voted Biden over Trump, it would be a constant percentage from precinct to precinct. IF 10% of the Republicans in precinct x voted for Biden, then on average, 10% of the voters in precinct y and z would vote for Biden.

What the graph showed was that the more Republican the precinct, overall, the LARGER PERCENTAGE of Republicans voted for Biden over Trump. That defies logic and reason.

There is no reason for the greater percentage of Pro Trump Precincts to have a higher PERCENTAGE of Biden voters.

None.


113 posted on 11/20/2020 3:07:27 PM PST by Bryan24 (When in doubt, move to the right..........)
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To: Bryan24

That is indeed an oddity that no one, including FOX people, have even thought about. If You don’t use your mind, how do you know the election was legit?


122 posted on 11/20/2020 4:33:38 PM PST by cookcounty (Susan Rice: G Gordon Liddy times 10.)
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To: Bryan24
No, the assumption is if split ticket voters voted Biden over Trump, it would be a constant percentage from precinct to precinct. IF 10% of the Republicans in precinct x voted for Biden, then on average, 10% of the voters in precinct y and z would vote for Biden.

The x-axis had percentage of R straight tickets. The y-axis had direct Trump votes (non-straight). The example he gives is 60% straight party and 65% individual votes for Trump. He subtracts 60 from 65 and says 5% more unaffiliated voters voted for Trump. He then says it should be 5% across the board (horizontal line). But that's not correct.

Example 1: 20% straight R and 25% split ticket with Trump. Take a D district with 20 % straight party R vote. There are going to be more people who will vote D party down ballot but vote for Trump. Why? Because he's popular among Dems. Not as popular as BIden but much more popular than establshment RINOs.

Example 2: R district with 60% straight ticket R voting (his example). He claims that 65% of the other voters should also vote Trump. But that's not a logical conclusion. The other 40% of the voters are splitting their ticket because are not Republicans and unlikely to be Trump voters other than the same 25% or maybe a bit more that he picked up my example 1.

There is no reason for the greater percentage of Pro Trump Precincts to have a higher PERCENTAGE of Biden voters.

No, those aren't "pro Trump" precincts. Those are mainly R districts and the pro-Trump voters are the combo of straight ticket Republicans (60%), plus 40 or 45% of the remaining liberals, independents, and non-straight ticket R voters. In fact in my example 2, Trump gets more split ticket voters than my example 1.

Anyway his whole premise is easy to check, just take a single precinct from the right side of curve, only 2,000 or so in an average precinct. Hand count that precinct. It should show the same count as the machine count.

131 posted on 11/20/2020 5:33:04 PM PST by palmer (Democracy Dies Six Ways from Sunday)
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