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To: AuH2ORepublican

Yep. Kim included.

NJ-7

Kean now down by 9708.
Trails Malinowski 51.3% – 48.7% (2.6%)
https://newjerseyglobe.com/congress/with-more-morris-ballots-counted-malinoski-lead-now-9708-over-kean/

There are supposed to be 57000 ballots left, mostly Election Day returns.

Kean needs close to 60% of them to pull ahead.


138 posted on 11/11/2020 6:10:27 PM PST by TexasGurl24
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To: TexasGurl24

From the article that you linked:

“Malinowski now leads Kean by 9,708 votes, 51.3%-48.7%, after 4,059 more ballots were counted in Morris County.

Kean added 1,043 votes in Morris County today after getting 62.8% of the ballots counted on Wednesday.

...

Union County added 2,293 more votes today, with Malinowski’s edge dropping there fom [sic] 12,297 to 11,604.

Millburn, the lone Essex municipality in the 7th district, added 396 additional votes; Malinowski’s plurality there dropped from 3,703 to 3649.”

So in today’s vote Kean netted 25.7% in Morris, 30.2% in Union and 13.6% in Essex. If there are 57,000 votes left, Kean only need to net a bit over 17% of the vote (the equivalent of winning 58.5% to 41.5% in a two-person race), which he should exceed if they are mostly Election Day ballots remaining to be counted (and which he far exceeded today). Even if the number of ballots left to be counted is only 50,000, Kean would win by netting 19.5% of them.

If the votes remaining are anything like the votes that have been counted during the past week, I think that Kean will win. Maybe those 20% odds that you gave him should be bumped up to 50%.


140 posted on 11/11/2020 6:38:27 PM PST by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll defend your rights?)
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