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Let’s get specific:

1) I said Trump would win with “between 320 and 340 EVs.”

Since this is horribly tainted by fraud, it’s hard to judge. At the very least he still can win with about 300 EVs. I doubt they will waste much time on fraud in MN and NV, which would give him 322, but . . .

2) I said the Rs would hold the senate at best 53-47, at worst 51-49. We are at the latter but with John James in contention and with the GA race in a runoff. So, probably right on the money.

3) I said we would come close in the House but fall short. We are now at 207 with another 7 seats likely to go R.

4) I said Trump would nationally get 12-15% of the black vote (BINGO-—12%) with another “4-5% staying home” (BINGO: the black vote was about 4% off where we can accurately measure it in FL and NC).

5) I said Trump would win FL by “2-3 points.” BINGO

6) I said Trump would “come close” to winning a majority of Hispanics in FL. (48%)

Now, since you’re so concerned I-—unlike anyone else on FR-—will actually point out to you where I was wrong:

I said Trump would carry every one of his 2016 states with a higher margin. Right in FL, MI, WI, PA, wrong in NC, AZ, GA. Almost exactly the same in NV.

Again, however, we don’t know what role fraud played in all of these. It’s entirely possible I was right across the board. For example, he lost NY by only 13 points.

He came up about 1 point lower in OH than in 2016-—but, sigh, again we don’t know what role fraud played in that.

In short, when you compare my predictions to those of virtually every pollster except Baris, they are far better.