I don’t think they can win without Pennsylvania and I don’t believe Florida is in play. How could it be? The Miami-Dade numbers are the best of any Republican in my lifetime and that is not only a “must-have” county for a democrat, it is the primary driver of a democrat victory in the state that typically provides a ridiculous percentage of their votes. There is no Biden path to victory in Florida without a massive turn-out in this county. None. Biden is clearly short of where HRC was 4 years ago there and Trump is performing much better there.
My eyes remain on PA and it is the source of almost all of my nerves today.
Don’t be nervous about PA. One, we don’t need it to win. Two, we are going to win it with more votes then last time.
I did some playing around with that “make your own map” thingy. I came up with a reasonable way of winning without PA. It required AZ, NC, WI and MI.
I just spent 4-1/2 weeks working in the far south end of Miami-Dade County (Sept-Oct, 2020). Saw one Biden bumper sticker -and that on an out-of-state union worker's car. One or two Biden yard signs. A few dozens of Trump yard signs. A little further south in the Keys, many Trump signs and banners. A scattering of Biden yard signs.