Mollie
@MZHemingway
2h
On call, Trump team says Trump will win AZ by 30K votes. Pointing out that their data has been right thus far (including close race in WI when media claimed it would be a Biden blowout)
But Richard Baris replies:
Peoples_Pundit
@Peoples_Pundit
1h
If the ED split continues as we saw from last night, it would be closer to 10k.
OK, so here’s the deal folks. The call for Biden on Arizona may very well be REVERSED, which makes this a whole new ball game. If we get AZ, NC, PA, and GA, Trump wins. NC looks good. PA looks somewhat good. And now here’s the update on GA. (Caveat: could be a handful more ballots other than those listed below).
Trump leads by just over 100K. About 180K ballots out.
Outstanding counties/ballots
7K Forsyth (very good for Trump)
70K Fulton (Atlanta—really bad)
52-54K DeKalb (Atlanta-really bad)
20K Houston (good)
15K Chatham (bad)
15K smattering of other counties. (neutral to good)
Less than 1K Gwinnett (bad county, great news its 1K)
Translation: Democrats need to win 78% (roughly) of the outstanding ballots to net 100K. The consensus among the Georgia number crunchers is that Democrats net 50K to 60K, give or take.
I’d like 30k, but I’ll take 10k.
Then, I’d like to see Tucker go to NewsMax and watch Fox get lower ratings than CNN, then lower, until their max views top out at 100k daily.