Projecting the votes from this article against '16 results will Republicans win. There are many more Republican votes out there.
However a few other things exist. There are 130 colleges and universities in PA. Most students are not on campus. There is no college GOTV herding effort this year.
The black vote is low. However, a higher percentage of blacks are voting for Trump than in the past.
One last thing no one seems to write about in the media. Biden had no ground game in PA. They started to go door to door a week and a half a go. The GOP had over a million door knocks before Oct 1. This has led to a shift in voter registration in PA where Republicans are picking up voter and Rats are losing voters.
“There is no college GOTV herding effort this year.”
That will be very interesting.
Of course they’ll be voting in their home districts, but their absence may make a big difference in the college vote’s effect- or rather affect.
Not only that, but the Wu Flu has been the most politicized disease in history. Rats who are afraid of it have already voted for Biden. Conservatives, and Rats who are not afraid of it are going to vote for Trump tomorrow.