Posted on 11/02/2020 12:58:13 PM PST by goodn'mad
“I like these. What about Florida?”
Trafalgar
FL Oct 29, 2020 Presidential Poll
TOTALS (with leans)
Donald Trump 49.6%
Joe Biden 46.9%
Jo Jorgensen 1.5%
Someone Else 1.4%
Undecided 0.7%
Too close for comfort in swing states. Hoping any surprise will favor PDJT.
That’s encouraging. Can you post the link for that?
Poll theory:
Polls are either neutral, self fulfilling or self defeating.
Self fulfilling means that the “loosing” party voters give up, loose interest in voting, while the “winning” people are energized.
Self defeating polls mean that the “winning” voters assume they have already won and do not show up, while the “loosing” side scrambles mightily to save what appears to be loss.
US polls tend to be self fulfilling as Americans like to vote for the winner. On the other side, in Britain the polls tend to be self defeating as Britons like to vote for underdog.
All those false polls are trying to be self fulfilling in American tradition.
But this year it might be the opposite. Trump voters are energized, they will vote regardless of the polls. They may show up even if they may think Trump is behind, or maybe even more so.
On the other side, with the virus, boring, unexciting candidate and apparent easy win, Biden voters may not bother. It is kind of starting looking that way.
That’s why they’re called swing states. Can’t have a 10 pt majority in every state.
RE: Very close race, it’s going to be a nervous couple days.
THAT’S THE PROBLEM. IT SHOULD NOT TAKE A COUPLE OF DAYS.
We ought to know the result by 1 AM the next day or earlier.
i’m going to bummed out of these Trafalgar polls are bunk. That and a few Rasmussen polls are all I have been hanging my hat on.
That is from July 20.
I’ve been thinking about that too. I heard Robert Cahaley say that Pennsylvania makes him nervous because the Democrats literally own the voting apparatus and therefore have so many ways they can cheat. He also said that Trump must carry the state by at least 4% to offset cheating. That is a pretty tall order but I strongly believe that Trump will win.
Correct. He said that during at least 2 appearances on Hannity.
If these polls are true I will be up all night celebrating.
"I do this without a guitar"
Thanks for correcting me. I didn’t think that sounded right. SkinndogNN says that, “Four days ago Cahaly released findings suggesting that Trump had a 49.6% to 46.9% edge over Biden in Florida.” This is roughly a three point lead, which is about where I thought it was. Let’s hope it widens even more by tomorrow.
I think with what the Commie AG of PA said today, they are gonna try to steal it over there..they dont even require signatures on ballots or time stamps on those ballots..so if Dems are down by lets say 10,000 votes, they will “Find” some
Thanks for the link, Starboard. I hope that Trump increases that lead even more by this time tomorrow. I think he will.
They’d never beat Trump in a fair fight. That bunch will stoop to any level to win.
It seems to me that the Dems are again too smart for they own good. It looks to me that their elaborate schemes designed to scare off Republicans (phony polls, coronavirus scare, lying adds, media) are depressing their own constituents, while not being able to depress the Republicans.
Well, we will see!
Do not let them depress you! Vote!
As I understand it, all ballots received late or with a mismatched signature need to be segregated in PA. This gives Trump an additional bite of the apple and Barrett will hear this case.
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