[plushaye]

Trafalgar polling has Potus ahead in PA, MI and NC today. Trafalgar was (I believe) the only pollster in 2016 who showed Trump winning in MI, and of course he did. They manage to account for some of the “shy Trump” vote in their polling. Nate Silver attacks Trafalgar all the time for their results.

Robert Cahaly of Trafalgar said on Fox that they are finding late deciders breaking for Trump because of the “fear of lockdowns”, like those announced in the UK and threatened by Biden.

[Ravi]

NC has had "one-stop" for the past two weeks (register and vote on the same day).

REPs have won this battle. They lost this battle in 2012 and 2016.

From 10/19 to 11/2:

21,001 people registered as DEMs and voted.
29,131 people registered as REPs and voted.
15,730 people registered as NPAs and voted.