See my #48 above:
Iowa poll yesterday (A+ rated according to Nate Silver) shows IA indys breaking to Trump. Its lifting Rs in House races.
Richard Baris of Big Data polling finds - Independents now trending towards Trump in AZ/PA/FL/OH.
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If Indys are breaking for Trump in one or more key battleground states then I dont see how it doesnt do so nationwide! If Trump is very competitive in PA and is winning handily in OH then MI and WI must be breaking his way. Same goes for FL and AZ!
I agree.
Richard Baris does say it differs by state, however if all the swing states are swaying one way, I would think indy voters are contributing to that.