One key number that I think you are missing which would put things into perspective, what wat the Dem lead over RepRep in 2016 after all voting, not just EV. I don’t have all my references in front of me but I have it written down as 301k. That puts the present 255k in a different light.
My rough numbers show the Reps will turnout over 100k greater than 2016. The Dem number is essentially unchanged from 2016.
There is a large number of unaffiliated voters who can gum up the works.
To me, Trump’s 2020 margin of victory in NC looks roughly the same as 2016. I will make my final predictions on Monday.
To me, Trump’s 2020 margin of victory in NC looks roughly the same as 2016.
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I think it will higher than 2016 because the momentum is with Trump over the last week and the China Virus drop off of Democrats on Election Day. This year his hard to predict.