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To: SpeedyInTexas

NV: “Big rural turnout pushes statewide lead below 39,000 for Dems. The Rs now lead in the rurals by 44,000 votes. That has to make Dems a little nervous. The statewide lead is now below 2016 lead of 45,000 and well below extrapolated lead of 54,000.”

“Extrapolated lead” 54k-39k current = 15k improvement for Rs.

Trump only lost the state by 26k.

Bug rural turnout on ED plus winning Indys with a good margin could flip the state to Trump.


254 posted on 10/31/2020 2:13:16 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Data indicates NV will be close. Data indicates FL will be close. Close meaning no Biden landslide.

When will the media cease with their Biden +10 landslide?

They are in for a bruising election night.


257 posted on 10/31/2020 2:19:55 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: SpeedyInTexas
So I don't have to type again:

Trump lost NV in 2016 by 2.4 points, a whopping ~26K votes. As of 9/1 the NV GOP had made a net gain of nearly 6K votes. Gary Johnson took over 37K votes, while “None of these candidates” scored another nearly 29K votes. Plus NV-03 is another Republican-leaning House district the GOP’s Dan Rodimer is trying to win back. While it’s not a shoo-in, the Trump campaign can definitely flip NV.

State of the 2020 election

265 posted on 10/31/2020 2:26:26 PM PDT by Coop (After 14 years, it's time for a new tagline)
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