Morning Joe is understating the Dems problem in FL. Last time he posted a warning I think he got a lot of blowback about “buzzkill”.
I keep thinking about this clip from CNN yesterday. Look at the analyst’s and David Axelrod’s faces. They are funereal. I think this is more than Miami-Dade’s Dem EV falling short.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WibM5490ivU
Joe is not considering two things there:
A) Turnout is clearly higher this time around; so a lead of 110K in 2020 is a smaller lead than 110K in 2016; percentage-wise, and therefore in the ability of the leader to hold the lead, and
B) Net voter registration of Rs closed the gap on D registration in FL by 200,000 since 2016. Its like having an extra 200K in the bank to draw from before the voting even starts.