Posted on 10/29/2020 4:58:16 AM PDT by Kaslin
Washington -- I do not like being wrong. Looking back on the journalism of the last few years, I have concluded this makes me one weird journalist. Most journalists -- in fact, most commentators -- seem to prefer to be wrong. Spectacularly, melodramatically wrong.
In 2013, when I met Donald Trump for the first time, I concluded that he could be a successful politician. More than that, I concluded that if he ran for president, he would win. He was not like any other politician I have known. He was smart, aggressive and he knew enough about the issues to get by. That is true of a lot of other politicians, but there was something more to Donald. He was a showman and a strategist. I have now, after seven years of watching him, concluded he has still more gifts. He has the energy of a great athlete and a voice that can only be a gift from God.
I concluded early on that Donald would win in 2016. I conclude that in 2020 he will win again. I say this based on observing the facts. As I have said, I do not like to be wrong. The vast majority of journalists and commentators do not care. They hide in the herd in which they travel. If they are wrong on Nov. 3, they and many of their colleagues will just not talk about it, and few will have the bad taste to mention their error in public.
If you doubt that I was one of the very few who picked Donald as the winner in 2016, even when he was as far behind as he has been the last few weeks, I can understand. The journalists of the herd never acknowledged their error. Seth Lipsky of the New York Sun, of course, got it right, but then, he often does. And over at BuzzFeed, Ben Smith got it right. In fact, BuzzFeed is worth quoting, for Smith now writes on media in general for The New York Times, and the media is his beat. Said Smith, "It's easy enough to find editors these days who say they saw Donald Trump coming, hard to find ones who are telling the truth about that. By my estimation perhaps the only one who really did is R. Emmett Tyrrell." Well, Ben, there were two of us. Jeff Lord got it right, too, and CNN fired him.
So, why is Donald going to win? Because he won in 2016 with pretty similar ratios. These last three weeks in particular, the spread was about the same as in 2016. Now Donald has poured it on. His voice has never cracked, and he has been a human dynamo. Joe Biden stayed close to his basement and prayed that no more stories would come out about Hunter's sweetheart financial deals with the Chinese and evidence from Hunter's laptop about setting aside a percentage of his deals for "the Big Guy." One Tony Bobulinski has been a partner with Hunter. Bobulinski came forward last week and held a press conference in which he divulged for "patriotic" reasons that Hunter told him the Big Guy is a reference to Joe Biden, who stands 6 feet tall.
Yet I have further reasons for believing Donald will win next week. In the Republican primaries more people voted for just one candidate, Donald Trump, than turned out for all the Democratic candidates. The enthusiasm for Donald is not just a matter of turnout at airports where he flies in and flies out. It can be tabulated in the electoral turnout. Throughout this race, the enthusiasm for Donald has been colossal. For Joe, it has been comparatively feeble. And there is more.
Last week, I reported that 56 percent of people polled by Gallup in late September affirmed they were better off now, amid a painful pandemic, than they were four years ago, before Donald entered the White House. Another 79 percent of Americans said the economy was one of the most important issues for them in the race. And still another 56 percent of Americans said they expected a Trump victory. Forgive me for jumping to conclusions, but I, too, am expecting a Trump victory. Apparently, I am not alone. Last week, Michael McKenna, who writes for the Washington Times, was equally fetched by these 56-percenters. Maybe I will not be so lonely this election day.
The only thing that could overthrow my calculations is voter fraud. There are an awful lot of blank ballots floating around out there.
Its amazing, isn’t it?
Juan Williams job on the five is to be the foil for the rest of them. He gets paid very well for it and actually does a pretty good job at it.
There are only two possible outcomes next Tuesday.
Either it is a fair election and Trump wins by a landslide, or we will have proof of leftist voter fraud.
Don’t worry. I will vote on Tuesday at my voting Precinct, which is at least 6 miles closer from my House than the early voting station. And I will vote for President Trump and every Republican candidate of different offices that are on the ballot.
I used to change the channel when I saw Terrell, he was so angry. Now, all you see is a smiling face.
I have never taking anything for granted and won't start now.
About Leo Tyrell. If you ever watched him he always had that mad look in his face, as if he was ticked of at the entire world. He did not vote for President Trump in 2016, but he is for him this time.If he hasn't already. Leo Tyrell is a Civil Right's Attorney I will be posting an article about him from July by Beth Bauman.
I have been voting since 1980, when I voted for President Reagan and again when he ran for reelection in 1984 which he won in a landslide. I am sure you remember that. President George W.Bush was the second president I voted for in his first term and his second term and President Trump will be the third president that I will vote for again. I have never voted for a democRat and will never vote for one. Also I have never taking an election for granted and never will.
Of course - we all are. That’s how the landslide is going to happen.
I can’t wait to vote for him on Tuesday and to be part of his landslide victory!
Did you not vote for George H. W. Bush twice?
Just curious as you made the point of voting twice for Reagan, George W. Bush, and that Trump will be the third time.
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