I don’t know but I do know that IPEV wasn’t so one sided in 2016 (like it is for Rs this year) because Rs had kept the D lead down, in decent part, because of VBM.
Now were are in a situation where counties that could still go to Biden (and probably will) are netting R votes recently (Duval, Hillsborough, and Miami-Dade).
All those are big.
Ralston upcoming update. I have a feeling it will be positive for Trump.
“I am about to post an update to the early voting blog that is going to make some people happy and some people unhappy.
Don’t kill the messenger.
What a funny request to make on Twitter.
Stay tuned.”