In 2 days, Ds will reach their 2016 Election Eve VBM return rate. So they are ahead of 2016 pace and indicates D turnout will be up this year.
Last 2 day average gain was 1.8 point
1.8 * 5 + 70.4 = 79.4% VBM Return Rate trajectory.
Pretty high.
Rs need a high turnout this year, at least 2016s 81.2%.
Rs need a high turnout this year, at least 2016s 81.2%.
So, a suppressed R turnout on Election Day would be a problem? I ask because you know it's coming. While I like to believe Trump will win FL, none of this is much of a warm fuzzy.
Assuming that all of those votes are going for Biden.