Yes. Every weekday, the Florida Republicans are taking a 40,000-50,000 bite out of the Democrats lead. It is below 300,000 now. It was thought the Democrats needed at least a 650,000 vote lead to withstand the Trump surge on voting day. Obviously theyre going to be nowhere close to that.
Lots of registered Democrats in Florida have consistently crossed over and voted for Republican presidents. Thats why Democrats have long underperformed in Florida where they had a registration advantage ever since the end of the Occupation (aka Reconstruction).
In 2008, Democrats had a registration advantage of 800,000
It fell to about 600,000 something in 2012. It fell to 330,000 when Trump won in 2016. It has fallen to about 150,000 now.
It’s 299K now, but also 1.2 Million, no party affiliation. If we assume 60/40 for the no/party, that’s another 240K for Biden - still under the 600K threshold they may need. I’m hopeful.
Interesting that in Miami-Dade the Rs are leading in Early Voting by over 5000. This must be due to the heavy Cuban- and Venezuelan-American voting for Trump bc there are far more registered Ds than Rs in that county.