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To: Mom MD; Jim Noble
The death rate however is not rising

Nationally, our fatalities per day are up a little. As would be expected, some areas are up substantially, while others are not. France however, is a mess. They just had a 523 fatality day, the highest since, I believe, April 23, and the October rise is coming off, as Jim Noble mentioned, many weeks of low numbers. There is no evidence that if they continue the policies of the last couple months, the French fatalities curve will do anything but continue to accelerate for some time. One has to assume* the "serious/critical cases" curve is out in front of the fatalities curve. The question is, what treatment capacity for these s/c cases does France now have?

*Real data would be best, of course, if anyone has it.

What to do? It seems to me that if likely fatalities* from COVID-19 strongly exceed likely fatalities from a vaccine (perhaps not proven as safe as vaccines usually must be judged), say by a factor of 10, you go with the vaccine. This esp. for high risk (from CV-19) groups.

23 posted on 10/28/2020 6:51:15 AM PDT by Paul R. (When you go to vote, remember which Party gave us the 55 mph speed limit!)
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To: Paul R.

They need to focus on treatment. Lockdowns prevent nothing. Hopefully there will also be a vaccine soon


25 posted on 10/28/2020 7:41:21 AM PDT by Mom MD
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