Somewhere numbers aren’t aligning with reality (and i’m mainly referring to Umich and other democrats analyzing polling data). On one hand they say Black support for Biden is through the roof in some places (where it is not as easily measured as Florida), but then in Florida and North Carolina (where it seems to be more easily calculated) it is lower. I think they are overestimating the black turnout and the black support.
Steve Schale posted numbers this morning.
Black turnout in Florida so far is 12.4%. Basically “in-line” with 2016 final turnout.