Ok. I definitely remember many R counties closed 4 years ago, but could have been only Sunday.
So maybe D lead of 100k Saturday morning.
Maybe Ds add 20k on the weekend with 120k lead Monday morning.
Would be something if the weekend is a wash and Monday morning is 100k almost like 2016 when it was 96k.
Sumter is pouring it on now.
33.5% lead vs 33.0 4 years ago.
And you know they’re spent.
The bigger metro areas are open for IPEV Sunday. A lot of smaller counties conclude on Saturday.
The big three in south Florida, Orange and Duval are open on Sunday. Definitely expect some give-back on Sunday but I don’t think it will be as bad as 2016 given the general D shift to VBM (just look at Miami-Dade and Palm Beach where R are practically even in IPEV, that wasn’t the case at all in 2016).
I think your 20k is pretty reasonable.