Posted on 10/27/2020 5:55:37 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
Glass half full?
Always look on the sunny side of life.
https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1321165359731363842
I think Team Trump has been reading The Freeper Political Desk. They are pulling advertising out of Florida. This dope thinks they are doing it b/c they are cash poor and desperate, making a Hail Mary attempt at Minnesota. No, actually it’s because blacks and youth vote are not showing up in Florida, meanwhile, every conservative, older “registered” Democrat is showing up.
There is ZERO chance that Trump’s team pulled out of Florida because they think its a lost cause.
Trump lost NM by 8.3 point in 2016. Gary Johnson, GOP gov of NM, took 9.3% of the vote.
I saw that. He’s always been part of the swamp. Messaged him about early voting numbers
FL is looking good.
Need 1 of MN / WI / MI / PA for the win.
Makes sense to me.
I’ll go with it.
Almost 44k net gain today.
Going to be around 50k again.
Unable to see the tweet. Pulling all $$ out of FL already or just reducing? I agree. Trump cannot risk losing FL’s 29 EVs. That dude is dreaming.
This weekend will be interesting.
I assume R counties are mostly closed again. Why not, right?
Then Ds do Souls to Polls one more time.
In 2016, Ds added 64k to lead that weekend.
I think Ds add to lead this weekend, but much less than 4 years ago.
Byecomey: Did I read your site correctly. Republicans have a net 279K advantage with “super-voters” in Florida?
Did you notice the change to 4/4 voters Byecomey put on the website? HOLY COW.
R > D + NPA
This could be a blood bath.
Everyone’s open for business Saturday. Many red counties closed Sunday. A few red counties in the panhandle stay open through Monday. All kinds of screwy to keep everything straight. IPEV being open on Sunday will benefit the REPs in many blue counties imo.
I can see thinks going like this:
Rs cut 50k per day M-F this week.
Saturday morning D lead of 100k.
After weekend, D lead of 140k Monday morning.
Trump over comes 140 deficit and wins Tuesday.
Yep, I was just looking at that.
D heads going to explode when they refresh.
Well that sounds good.
Was 2016 like that? Saturday open / Sunday closed?
Yes. The previous numbers were estimating *early voting* supervoters. As both parties crossed the threshold of 100% turnout, they both became negative so I changed the baseline to the total pool of 4/4 voters.
Not sure honestly but this year every county is open Saturday.
Great work again
Ok. I definitely remember many R counties closed 4 years ago, but could have been only Sunday.
So maybe D lead of 100k Saturday morning.
Maybe Ds add 20k on the weekend with 120k lead Monday morning.
Would be something if the weekend is a wash and Monday morning is 100k almost like 2016 when it was 96k.
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