Well, I live here in NJ and as I wrote to another freeper last week, I’d honestly be shocked - totally flabbergasted - if Trump even made NJ close.
Other than Somerset and Hunterdon counties - and the shore counties where no major population centers are, Trump won’t be competitive.
Newark, Union, Elizabeth, Paterson, Camden, Jersey City.... All Democrat land.
Do you think Biden is doing better in NJ than Hillary did in 2016?
I hope Jeff van Drew wins his seat back as a Rep.
If NJ goes blue —it will be close.
Why?
Early voting in deep blue florida counties Miami Dade/Palm Beach is close. slightly above slightly below. Democrats need these counties to be overwhelmingly democrat to make up for high republican votes upstate.
votes in mostly black Philadelphia in 2016 were 85% for hillary. Currently they’re running 74% for biden. the collar counties in PA are splitting. some for trump some for biden. last election they were all biden.
Something like this will happen in south jersey. that is there will definitely be democrat shrinkage there.
I don’t know about North Jersey. You’re probably right. But its impossible that local democrats mayors there have not pissed off every merchant in the area with their stringent covid rules. And all see what Cuomo and de blasio have done to NYC. The sh-t runs deep there. There’s going to be a secret democrat vote that goes for Trump. Might be 20%. That’s roughly the percent democrat that shows up for Trump rallies—where ever he goes!