I heard from a Q2 proponent it's polling 50-50.
Agreed on your Q2 assessment.
Sigh. I wish it were 50-50. But having lived in this state long enough, there are so many useful idiots who are going to respond favorably to the ad campaign:
“More Voice, More Choice.
Vote Yes on Question 2 on or by November 3, 2020 to enact Ranked Choice Voting by 2022, giving Massachusetts voters a stronger voice when we cast our ballots, and guaranteeing that our elected leaders are supported by a true majority.”
I would be willing to bet $5K right now to say it passes. And I am not a gambling man...:(