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I’ve worked in radio now for nearly 40 years. Back in the mid 90s I was working at a country music station that had been dominant for quite a few years. A new station came into town and decided the way to beat us was to do a car giveaway. They advertised the heck out of it and did, in fact, give away a car. When the ratings came out a month or two later, we still creamed them. Why? Good programming always beats gimmicks.

This analogy holds true in the Presidential election. The President has good “programming” and that means a solid product.

This analogy holds true in the Presidential election. The President has good “programming” and that means a solid product.

Yes.
Plus you really can't hide in your basement and win a presidential election. Not in America. Not in any country that I know of.
No matter how many ads you run on the air.
A real great big Trump rally will trump a TV ad every time.
Reminds me of 1948 when Harry Truman worked really hard traveling and campaigning everywhere in the country, despite every poll saying he was going to lose. His opponent Dewey was so sure he would win(the media and the polls kept telling him that), he never really campaigned that hard.
Who won?
Harry Truman did.
The newspapers were so sure Dewey would win, they even printed the headlines saying Dewey had won, before the results were in