grey_whiskers wrote:
“Rasmussen Yesterday:
Biden:
NJ Trump 45 Biden 48 (Biden +3)
NM Trump 45 Biden 46 (Biden +1)
OR Trump 46 Biden 47 (Biden +1)
Trump:
NV Trump 49 Biden 46 (Trump +3)
WI Trump 50 Biden 45 (Trump +5)
NH Trump 49 Biden 46 (Trump +3)
ME Trump 48 Biden 46 (Trump +2)
PA Trump 50 Biden 45 (Trump +5)
MN Trump 47 Biden 44 (Trump +3)
AZ Trump 50 Biden 45 (Trump +5)
MI Trump 50 Biden 44 (Trump +6)
FLA Trump 52 Biden 44 (Trump +8)
TX Trump 54 Biden 42 (Trump +12)
NC Trump 53 Biden 43 (Trump +10)
OH Trump 53 Biden 41 (Trump +12)
IA Trump 54 Biden 41 (Trump +13)
In the states where Trump leads, he’s up an average of 6.5%...
Margin of error is usually +/- 3%.
In only one state where Trump is ahead, is it well within the margin of error (ME) at 2%.
Three others (NH, NV, MN) are *at* the margin of error at 3%.
Only one of the states Biden is leading (NJ) is he AT the margin of error.
NJ at 3%.
The other two are within the margin of error:
NM and OR at 1%.
and
CO and VA are tied.
Tie:
CO Trump 47 Biden 47
VA Trump 47 Biden 47
Undecideds usually stay home or break for the incumbent.
This has the makings of a Trumpslide...!”
Woah!!!!
And polls don’t capture the “shy Trump” votes....
Dem, Ind, or Rep.
There are 9 days to go, Murkowski jumped, Romney is playing his normal games but will jump, Collins is lost in the woods but was born in Maine and may find her way out.
If the incumbent is polling below 45%, the undecideds break against the incumbent 9 to 1. However if the President is polling above 45%, the undecideds usually break 50/50. That is what usually happens historically. That is of course the undecideds are truly undecideds.