Go out and do something else. Relax. Have a beer. Sitting around worrying about something you have no control over is a recipe for madness.
Going through all the data is a chore. I pay close attention to it and I know who to follow and what to look at.
MN is looking good, my gut says it’s in Trump’s column, but the data is sketchy. The best data we have to watch is in NC and FL.
WI is also looking good. Trump appears to be outperforming his previous numbers there in some traditional Republican areas where he was weaker last time, while maintaining his strength in his strongholds.
IA looks to be firmly in Trump’s column.
NC is one of the states where we have the best data and historical data to compare it to. Looking at that data, things are looking good at the moment. If you want to follow someone here at FR who studies these numbers closely and knows what he’s talking about, follow this guy:
http://www.freerepublic.com/tag/by:bort/index?brevity=full;tab=comments
You can also follow Larry Schweikart on Twitter. Other FReepers worth following for data are Speedyintexas, Ravi, and Byecomey.
In Wisconsin in 2016 you had NeverTrumper Sykes depressing Trump’s votes in the WOW counties-the 3 counties around Milwaukee which are heavily Rep.
Those 3 will outperform 2016.