“I follow your post daily. Would you provide a short (1 or 2 line) summary in laymen’s term?”
Ds are afraid of the virus, so they are voting by mail. Those numbers show up first before in person voting. So Ds start out with a large lead in “counts”. Rs are voting in person more than mail. Those numbers are being added to counts now.
Ds are ahead in votes cast by registration, but Rs are cutting that lead each day now with in person voting.
A bit longer than 1-2 sentences.
I know the thought on how Dems vote early, but I still would feel much better being ahead at the end of ev. I just worry covid will change the ev versus ed dynamics seen last time.