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Joe Biden is ahead in the six battleground states Donald Trump won in 2016 by as much as seven points, new poll finds - which says 53% of his supporters have ALREADY voted
UK Daily Mail ^ | October 21 2020 | EMILY GOODIN

Posted on 10/21/2020 1:05:08 PM PDT by knighthawk

Joe Biden leads Donald Trump in six battleground states the president won in the 2016 election with less than two weeks to go.

The Democratic nominee leads in most national polls on the race but the battleground contests are significant because they offer a tighter view of the state of the race.

Particularly, Biden leads in three states - Florida, Pennsylvania and North Carolina - that are considered must win in order to take the presidency.

(Excerpt) Read more at dailymail.co.uk ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: biden; trump
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To: PaulZe

“Change Research reaches voters via targeted online ads that point people to an online survey instrument.”

In other words, it’s not a statistically valid poll because it doesn’t use valid samples of a population.


21 posted on 10/21/2020 1:20:52 PM PDT by fwdude (Pass up too many hills to die on, and you will eventually fall off the edge of the world.)
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To: knighthawk

Garbage in, garbage out. Given how I show up on voter rolls, if Virginia was a “battleground state”, I KNOW those pollsters would say I’m a Biden supporter based on their flawed assumptions.


22 posted on 10/21/2020 1:21:02 PM PDT by mikey_hates_everything
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To: PaulZe
"...reaches voters via targeted online ads..."

In other words a garbage sample and poll

23 posted on 10/21/2020 1:23:24 PM PDT by Mozzafiato
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To: knighthawk

Daily Mail is acting like this is a good thing for Biden.

In reality they are gonna be out of ammo by the time that Red Wave hits.


24 posted on 10/21/2020 1:23:28 PM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer.)
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To: knighthawk

Biden leads by 10 points nationally (52% to 42%), unchanged over the past two weeks. Biden also leads by 4 points across the six state battleground — six states Trump won in 2016 — as he has since mid summer. Biden continues to lead in each of these states.

+6 in Arizona (51 to 45)
+5 in Florida (50 to 45)
+7 in Michigan (51 to 44)
+3 in North Carolina (50 to 47)
+2 in Pennsylvania (49 to 47)
+8 in Wisconsin (52 to 44)

This is pure 100 percent Bull Sh-t.

I read the ar5ticle and it did not give the internals such as Dem verses Rep percentage, if it were registered voters or likely voters. In fact the article gave no internals. If they do not give the internals they are just trying to hide the fact this is a Bull Sh-t Poll paid for by the left.


25 posted on 10/21/2020 1:23:57 PM PDT by cpdiii (cane cutter, deckhand, roughhneck, geologist, pilot, pharmacist, old man, CONSTITUTION TO DIE FOR)
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To: Meatspace

Don’t be naive, the Trump haters are voting heavily and we will need 90 percent turnout of Republicans to defeat them. There is no possibility of a landslide.


26 posted on 10/21/2020 1:24:19 PM PDT by nbenyo
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To: DarthVader

“ National Poll: At least 100 people in each Congressional District have been polled. Almost 44 to 50 thousand respondents who are likely voters.”

“Trump 51.2 Biden 44.4”

That poll you cite has more than 43,500 Respondents. These other polls cut corners on sampling and only have 800-1000 Respondents.

Which is more believable?

An 800 person poll or a 43,500 person poll?


27 posted on 10/21/2020 1:25:34 PM PDT by Meatspace
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To: knighthawk

28 posted on 10/21/2020 1:25:37 PM PDT by Vendome (I've Gotta Be Me https://youtu.be/wH-pk2vZG2M)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

The Daily Mail is usually a surprisingly objective source, MUCH better than most news outlets here in the states. But they still tend to fall victim to bias on occasion.


29 posted on 10/21/2020 1:25:44 PM PDT by fwdude (Pass up too many hills to die on, and you will eventually fall off the edge of the world.)
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To: Lod881019

Plus isnt this the former obama staffer and online, not sure


30 posted on 10/21/2020 1:26:29 PM PDT by italianquaker
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To: DarthVader

Wow. that’s fantastic.


31 posted on 10/21/2020 1:26:38 PM PDT by spacejunkie2001
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To: TigerClaws

It’s meant to be a vote suppressor for R’s; why bother voting in person if the lead is so big, AND it’s Hopium for Dems to keep the base excited and then very po’d when they lose....”the polls said Biden was winning! It must be fraud”, etc., etc.


32 posted on 10/21/2020 1:27:01 PM PDT by ripnbang ("An armed man is a citizen, an unarmed man, a subject.")
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To: knighthawk

Did you bother to take a look at the 2 dweebs who run “changeresearch.org”......they exactly like you’d expect two woke young techies to look like. Feminism on Steriods....LOL. If ya know what i mean. That’s pretty good.....I just made it up.....”Feminism on steriods”.....


33 posted on 10/21/2020 1:27:26 PM PDT by vespa300 (q)
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To: Meatspace

100%


34 posted on 10/21/2020 1:27:40 PM PDT by spacejunkie2001
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To: Meatspace

The larger is always more accurate!


35 posted on 10/21/2020 1:27:44 PM PDT by DarthVader (Not by speeches & majority decisions will the great issues th the day be decided but by Blood & Iron)
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To: knighthawk

Yeah sure he is, that is why Biden is dragging Obama out cause hey Biden is leading by a zillion LOL


36 posted on 10/21/2020 1:27:44 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: All

I’d read last month that the poll participation rates were from 20% down to 2%.

Trump voters are being fired, threatened, run over, shot... ANTIFA out there.

Who would tell any stranger where they stand on anything?

There’s also an oversampling of the suburban single women registered R who may not like Trump’s personality.

They also want people who voted in the last five elections and Trump voters often only show up to vote for Trump. 30%+ of those at rallies didn’t vote last time around.

Any number of ways to ‘cook’ the books on polling.

My question is WHY?

Why tell lazy Democrats to not bother because Biden is so far ahead they really don’t need to go stand in line hours to vote for him?


37 posted on 10/21/2020 1:28:24 PM PDT by TigerClaws
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To: Meatspace

I think the election is already over and election night will be a big nothing burger. The Dems don’t have the advanced votes they need to overcome.


38 posted on 10/21/2020 1:29:16 PM PDT by frogjerk
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To: knighthawk

Polls also show that most Democrats are voting by mail or early and most Republicans are planning to vote on election day.


39 posted on 10/21/2020 1:29:25 PM PDT by kennedy (No relation to those other Kennedys.)
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To: knighthawk

Polls are NOT News.


40 posted on 10/21/2020 1:30:03 PM PDT by Osage Orange (TRUMP!!!)
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