North Carolina Early Voting update (good news)

North Carolina Board of Elections ^ | October 21, 2020 | bort

[bort]

At the beginning of NC early voting, Democrats were leading Republicans in returned mail ballots by roughly a 54% to 16% spread. That spread has now been reduced to 43.70% to 27.48% after 6 days of early, in-person voting (note: the Democrats have out-voted Republicans on all 6 days of in-person voting, but each day Republicans have cut the Democrats' raw vote margin).

On the first day of early, in-person voting, Democrats cast approximately 75K more ballots than Republicans. Yesterday, Democrats cast 3K more ballots than Rs, which means that tomorrow Republicans will very likely win the "raw vote" in early voting for the first time.

In 2016, Democrats went into Election Day with a 310,000 early vote lead and LOST NC by 3.8 points. Democrats currently lead Republicans in EV by approximately 350K votes. That 350K lead looks like the Democrats' Pickett's Charge in North Carolina, because Republicans should win most--if not every--of the remaining days of early voting.

Continued below

[Mozzafiato]

Am I the only one who believes that scores of Democrats will vote by mail, and then show up on election day and vote again in person? The cross checks between which ballots have already been received (or postmarked ON Election Day) and who shows up to the polls is VERY poor. If a person drops their ballot in the mailbox on Nov 3rd morning (or previous day) and shows up to vote in person there will be no record of ballot received. So their vote will be double-counted. This will be a mess on Election night.

[shaven_llama]

> This will be a mess on Election night.

That is the intent, yes.

[wareagle7295]

As with many other aspects of voting, how this is handled varies by state. Here are some examples:
br> In the event that a mail ballot has already been received and counted, voters are not allowed to cast a ballot in person.[2]
br> In the event that a mail ballot has not already been received and counted, states may:
br> Allow voters to bring in their mail ballot. The mail ballot is then exchanged for an in-person ballot.[3]
br> Allow voters to cast a provisional ballot. If the election agency determines that no mail ballot was cast, the provisional ballot is counted. If a mail ballot is received by the deadline, the mail ballot is counted and the provisional ballot is discarded.[4]
br> Allow a voter to cast a ballot in person. Later, if a mail ballot is received by the appropriate deadline, state law determines the ballot counted in the final tally. In some states, the in-person vote is included in the final tally because it was received first.[5] In other states, voters can be bound to the vote they cast by mail.[6]
br> Option 3 is ludicrous, it should always be a provisional ballot. I guess it is going to depend on the state, especially a swing state.

[Coop]

Well, hurry up and have more kids!!

[wareagle7295]

As with many other aspects of voting, how this is handled varies by state. Here are some examples:

In the event that a mail ballot has already been received and counted, voters are not allowed to cast a ballot in person.[2]

In the event that a mail ballot has not already been received and counted, states may:

Allow voters to bring in their mail ballot. The mail ballot is then exchanged for an in-person ballot.[3] br> Allow voters to cast a provisional ballot. If the election agency determines that no mail ballot was cast, the provisional ballot is counted. If a mail ballot is received by the deadline, the mail ballot is counted and the provisional ballot is discarded.[4]

Allow a voter to cast a ballot in person. Later, if a mail ballot is received by the appropriate deadline, state law determines the ballot counted in the final tally. In some states, the in-person vote is included in the final tally because it was received first.[5]

In other states, voters can be bound to the vote they cast by mail.[6]

Option 3 is ludicrous, it should always be a provisional ballot. I guess it is going to depend on the state, especially a swing state.

[Coop]

So you have worked as an election official? Or at least were a poll watcher?

[cgbg]

Unaffiliated voters are “don’t dox me bro” Trump voters.

[cgbg]

The competence (and integrity) of election officials will determine whether double counting happens.

If Republicans have officials watching the election officials then this problem can be kept under control.

[fortheDeclaration]

It will be shut down by the SC after ACB is confirmed.