[Ravi]

Good stuff Speedy.

Prediction:
82% overall turnout of R voters (4.24 million)
79% overall turnout of D voters (4.19 million)

Let's see how accurate I am.

Good day in NC (all forms of advance voting):
DEMs turnout went from 45.0% to 43.7%
REPs turnout went from 26.3% to 27.5%
UNA turnout went from 28.4% to 28.5%
2.16 million ballots cast so far. That is an impressive 45.5% of 2016 turnout (incredible).

Florida needs to catch up to this turnout.


NC voter registration changes 10/20 to 10/21:
REPs +1,416.
DEMs +1,239.
UNA +792.

[wfu_deacons]

You and I must have been typing at the same time.

[Ravi]

Georgia is going bonkers with early voting! They've been at it since the 12th.

They are now up to 45.9% turnout of 2016! (1.9 million ballots cast).

Black share of the vote has now dropped from 34.4% (before early voting) to 29.8% this morning.

Only 5.1% in the 18 to 24 cohort. That seems awfully low with 2 million votes in already.

[SpeedyInTexas]

“Prediction:
82% overall turnout of R voters (4.24 million)
79% overall turnout of D voters (4.19 million)”

I might pick 81 and 78.

But key point is delta is 50,000 votes. A closer margin than 2016. For those who think Trump is going to win Florida by 3,4,5%. Won’t happen.

The data right now, 13 days before election shows a bigger D turnout than 2016. That makes the race closer.

Trump won by 1.2% in 2016. Data says a closer margin this year.

[SpeedyInTexas]

“Florida needs to catch up to this turnout.”

Florida is on its way.

Total voting on Monday 500k.
Yesterday 675k. Amazing.